June 15, 2026
Preview from my weekly report*
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A peace deal between the U.S. and Iran would be very bullish. Major stock price indexes reversed sharply to the upside on
Thursday and Friday on reports of
improved prospects for peace. The Cumulative Daily Advance–Decline Line (A/D Line) jumped
up to a new all-time high, indicating bullish strength for the broad market of
stocks. The
following equity ETFs also rose to new highs: Equal-weight
ETF (RSP) Small-cap
Russell 2000 (IWM) Mid-cap
400 (MDY) Transportation
(IYT) Real
Estate (XLRE)
U.S. fixed-income
prices reversed to
the upside. The war has intensified fears of inflation since February, which
has been bearish for fixed-income prices. The U.S. Note ETF (IEF) remains
in a bearish position below the 50-day and 200-day SMAs—but that could change
if a peace deal is actually signed. Although there have been many false starts,
actual peace could allow Middle East oil to flow again, which would lower the
global price of energy, and that would be bullish for fixed-income prices, as
well as for financial assets generally.
A strategy emphasizing both capital preservation and return on investment appears most rational and prudent at this time.
Every day, we measure and weigh objective technical and quantitative data in order to judge the Reward/Risk probabilities of trend continuation or reversal. Our goal is to protect your assets from major risks while capitalizing on an improving investment outlook. We always put our clients' best interests first.
Consider exploring our professional fiduciary asset management services to protect and grow your wealth. We are happy to discuss your goals and concerns and answer your questions.
For a free consultation, contact:
Bill Anderson
Phone: 646-652-6879
Email: anderson@colbyassetmanagement.com
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